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Big Expectations: Bitcoin ‘Halving’ Again In April
By Matt De Vlieger · February 1, 2024
What is Bitcoin Halving?
Bitcoin halving occurs approximately every four years, or after every 210,000 blocks are mined on the Bitcoin blockchain. The event marks one of the most anticipated moments for crypto investors.
Control of Supply
The purpose of Bitcoin halving is to control the supply of new bitcoins entering circulation, ensuring a predictable and gradual issuance over time.
First Ever Halving
The first Bitcoin halving occurred in November 2012, reducing the block reward from 50 bitcoins to 25 bitcoins per block.
Community Reception
The 2012 Bitcoin halving was preceded by hype and anticipation within the Bitcoin community, leading to post-halving volatility followed by a gradual price appreciation. This event underscored Bitcoin's scarcity, triggered a long-term bullish trend, and solidified Bitcoin's credibility as a decentralized digital currency with deflationary properties, setting the stage for continued growth and adoption.
Second Halving
The second Bitcoin halving took place in July 2016, further reducing the block reward to 12.5 bitcoins per block.
Price Maturity
Unlike the first halving, the second halving saw a more informed market reaction with increased volatility in the short term followed by a sustained period of price appreciation. Additionally, the mining landscape had evolved significantly, with professionalized mining operations and broader recognition of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class among institutional investors and traditional financial institutions.
April 2024
The upcoming Bitcoin halving is expected to occur in April 2024, cutting the block reward in half again to 6.25 bitcoins per block.
Built-in Feature
Bitcoin halving events are pre-programmed into the Bitcoin protocol and are not influenced by external factors or central authorities.
All the Hype
Historically, Bitcoin halvings have been associated with increased media attention, heightened speculation, and sometimes, short-term price volatility.
Bull Market
Bitcoin halvings are often viewed as bullish events by cryptocurrency enthusiasts and investors, as they highlight Bitcoin's scarcity and its deflationary nature.
Long-term Price
Some analysts believe that Bitcoin halvings play a role in driving long-term price appreciation, as the reduction in new supply gradually diminishes over time.
Market Dynamics
Bitcoin halvings are significant milestones in Bitcoin's monetary policy and are closely watched by the cryptocurrency community for their potential impact on market dynamics and sentiment.
If History Rhymes
Historically, following Bitcoin halving events in 2012, 2016, and 2020, Bitcoin's price exhibited significant trends. Within 30 days after each halving, Bitcoin's price experienced a notable crash. However, in the subsequent months and years, Bitcoin's price surged dramatically, with post-halving gains reaching 11,000%, 2,850%, and 700% after the 2012, 2016, and 2020 halvings, respectively. According to some analysts, this pattern suggests a potential slope within 30 days after the upcoming halving in April-May 2024, followed by a market top between April and October 2025.