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Boomers Won’t Downsize Homes, Millennials Left Out

By Matt De Vlieger · January 21, 2024

Housing Disparity Emerges

A recent Redfin report highlights a growing housing issue as empty nest Baby Boomers own twice as many larger homes as Millennials with children.  Mart Production/Pexels

Affordability Challenges

Rising home prices, stagnant wages, high mortgage rates, and a nationwide housing shortage make it difficult for young families, and even Gen Z adults, to afford family-sized homes.  Kindel Media/Pexels

Boomers Went Big

Baby Boomers are opting to stay in their larger homes longer, choosing to age in place and maintain familiarity with their neighborhood.  Curtis Adams/Pexels

Limited Options for Downsizing

Even if Boomers wanted to sell, a shortage of smaller homes in their neighborhoods poses a challenge, making it impractical for them to downsize.  Pixabay

Ownership Disparity

Empty-nest Baby Boomers currently own 28% of large homes, while Millennials with kids own just 14%, and Gen Z families own a mere 0.3% of homes with three bedrooms or more.  Monstera Production

Historical Shift

A shift from the historical norm is noted, as ten years ago, young families were just as likely as empty nesters to own large homes.  RDNE/Pexels

Millennial Population Impact

Despite owning half as many large homes as empty nesters, Millennials make up around 28% of the country's adult population, the largest share among generations.  Biova Nakou/Pexels

Delayed Home Milestones

The trend reveals that the well-established milestone of purchasing a family home is increasingly out of reach for many young people, contributing to delayed family planning.  Karolina Grabowska/Pexels

Boomers Paid-Off

For those who own their homes outright, the median monthly cost of owning a home is just $612, providing little financial motivation for downsizing.  MART PRODUCTION/Pexels

No Incentive to Sell

Despite record-high levels of home equity, over 90% of current homeowners with mortgages have rates under 6%, making it financially unattractive for them to sell and buy another home.  Monstera Production/Pexels

Rate Lock-In Effect

The current average mortgage rate for a 30-year loan is around 6.6%, discouraging homeowners from selling, especially if they would end up with a higher mortgage rate.  Pavel Danilyuk/Pexels

Changing Ownership Demographics

Older Americans today own a larger share of large homes compared to a decade ago, while young families own a smaller share.  Pixabay

Geographical Disparities

Young families own the smallest share of large homes in coastal areas, with the Midwest having the largest share. Empty nesters own a significant portion of large homes across the country.  MART PRODUCTION/Pexels

Silver Lining in 2024

The report suggests a slight improvement in affordability in 2024 as mortgage rates trend down, reducing the gap between existing and current rates for potential home sellers.  RDNE/Pexels

Limited Expectations for Inventory Increase

Despite easing mortgage-rate lock-in effects, there's skepticism about a significant increase in housing inventory, with projections suggesting only a trickle rather than a flood of homes entering the market.  Jessica Bryant/Pexels